(Z)How Financial Markets Work – Todd Moses


How Financial Markets Work

&NewLine;<p>Financial Markets&comma; regardless of the asset&comma; represent the buying and selling of risk&period; People sell when they believe the risk is too high&period; They buy when the risk seems low&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Forget about assets and liabilities&period; Each stock&comma; bond&comma; futures contract&comma; option&comma; and even the currency to purchase it represents a basket of risk&period; Much like the Quantum Theory of Matter&comma; where particles have wave-like properties&comma; assets also have features of liabilities&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Assets&comma; Liabilities&comma; and Equity<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In accounting terms&comma; assets represent something of value&comma; such as stock and cash&period; A Liability is money owed at a future date with equity representing the amount left over after subtracting the liabilities from the assets&period; People often listen for this type of information on audio streaming platforms&period; It would be a great idea to discuss it via podcast&period; If you want more exposure on your content&comma; make sure to <strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;spotifystorm&period;com&sol;buy-spotify-plays" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener">buy spotify plays<&sol;a><&sol;strong> for a higher success rate&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>These clean-cut definitions work great for balance sheets and bank statements&period; However&comma; they are not sufficient for financial portfolios due to the nature of risk&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>For example&comma; consider a typical brokerage account&period; Here cash is deposited and used to purchase exchange-traded assets such as stocks&period; The money utilized to buy shares is at risk of inflation&period; After purchase&comma; the stock is at risk of losing value too&period; Since the cash and stock can both lose value&comma; they have some probability of moving from an asset to a liability&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Supply and Demand<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>An exchange such as the New York Stock Exchange &lpar;NYSE&rpar; functions similar to an auction&period; Its purpose is to facilitate trade between buyers and sellers&period; To purchase an asset&comma; with few exceptions&comma; one must be willing to sell and vice versa&period; Price fluctuations result from supply and demand&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In economic theory&comma; supply and demand describe the interaction between the sellers and the buyers for a specific asset&period; These forces pull against each other until equilibrium occurs&period; This balance is the current market price&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>That demand is from buyers who believe the asset has low risk&period; In turn&comma; the supply is from sellers who surmise the same asset is high risk&period;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Buyers and Sellers<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In 1979 psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman coined the term loss aversion&period; A phenomenon that declares losses to have twice the significant psychological impact of equivalent gains&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Loss aversion explains why some people are willing to buy while others sell the same asset&period; Consider a person holding a stock&period; As it drops in value a few points&comma; the fear of loss says&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;sell it now before things get worse&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In contrast&comma; a person with a large amount invested into a stock watches it fall in price&period; They succumb to the economic concept of sunk cost fallacy where a person continues a behavior due to previous investments&period; As a result&comma; they buy more of the declining stock&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Dealers Market<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The NASDAQ for stocks and the CME Group for commodities are dealer markets&period; Here the dealer buys and sells assets directly to market participants&period; Giving a bid price and an ask price&period; A transaction occurs when a buyer accepts the ask price&comma; or a seller takes the bid price&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The dealer acts as a market maker&period; Their job is to maintain liquidity&period; Meaning they are almost always willing to sell an asset for one amount and buy it for another&period; Making money from the spread between the bid and ask prices&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Liquidity<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Liquidity refers to how quickly a buyer can match with a seller&period; Exchanges use electronic means to unite buyers and sellers almost instantly&period; Be it with a market maker or a third party&period; Otherwise&comma; transactions would occur like eBay&comma; where sellers wait for an interested buyer to bid&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The speed of transactions is essential since price swings can occur in seconds&period; Also&comma; the very act of buying or selling assets on an exchange can influence the market&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>To protect from influencing the market&comma; exchanges employe statistical arbitrage&period; This strategy aims to reduce the risk of market movement by opening both a long position and a short position simultaneously&comma; allowing large block transactions without significantly affecting market prices&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">While You Were Sleeping<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In actuality&comma; during a late lunch or dinner&comma; depending on where you live&period; Between 4&colon;00 PM Eastern Time until around 8&colon;00&comma; some investors are busy making after-hours trades&period; Unlike day-time trading&comma; these transactions occur outside of the exchange&comma; <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;backstageviral&period;com&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener">directly<&sol;a> between buyers and sellers&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Using Electronic Communication Networks &lpar;ECN&rpar; that display the best available bid and ask quotes from participants&comma; these investors can act upon late-breaking news&period; This trading is why the price cited at the close is often different from the next days opening quote&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">The Foolish Media<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>When a news anchor says&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;the market is up today&period;” They are usually referring to an index such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average &lpar;DJIA&rpar; or the S&amp&semi;P&semi; 500&period; Not the stock market as a whole&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Short term price changes often occur due to news and social media&period; For example&comma; when Elon Musk&comma; CEO of Tesla&comma; proclaimed the stock to be too expensive via Twitter&period; The price was temporarily lowered&period; However&comma; the direction of a price movement is not always as expected by the news received&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The same phenomenon occurs with required reporting&period; Just as a company or financial agency’s announcement begins&comma; the associated asset’s price will move quickly&period; News outlets such as Bloomberg sell the results ahead of time&period; However&comma; it is illegal to act upon until the official report is made public&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Risk and Return<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Risk is the possibility that an investment’s actual gains will differ from an expected return&period; The probability that an investment will perform worse than anticipated is never zero&period; However&comma; this uncertainty is not something to be feared&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There is a symbiotic relationship between risk and return&period; The higher the uncertainty&comma; the greater the potential results&period; In other words&comma; risk is the currency used to buy higher return probability&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Price Movements<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>To understand why an asset is moving upward or down&comma; one must determine the cause&period; French Mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot discovered through his scientific study of markets&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;In the real world&comma; causes are usually obscure&period;” He concludes&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The precise market mechanism that links news to price&comma; cause to effect&comma; is mysterious and seems inconsistent&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Mandelbrot noted that short term price movements exhibit far more randomness than previously suspected&period; Unlike what many investors claim&comma; market prices do not fit a normal distribution or bell curve&period; Instead&comma; they follow a power law&period; A functional relationship between two quantities&comma; where a relative change in one amount results in a proportional change in the other amount&comma; independent of the initial size of those quantities&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;There were far too many big price swings to fit a bell curve&comma;” Benoit remarked after a study on 100-years of market prices&period; He agreed that prices tend to move upward over time&period; The problem&comma; he suggested&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;is the bumpy ride to get there&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>Conclusion<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>You just read a brief overview of how financial markets work&period; The subject itself has filled volumes of books&period; Meaning several aspects are missing for the sake of simplicity&period; To summarize&comma; consider the following&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Financial markets are not fair&period; The opportunities you have through a brokerage account are much less than institutions have&period; Everything from transmission speed to information flow favors the most significant players&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Multiple factors influence financial markets&period; The assets traded in these markets are priced based upon market sentiment and not the actual value of what they represent&period; For example&comma; a fundamentally sound company can see share value decline due to market factors&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>question&colon; how do standardized accounting principles help financial markets work more efficiently&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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